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23 September 2018

Alibaba

4Frameworks
12Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 1

Hot Take1:23:00

Is Jack Ma the Greatest Marketplace Entrepreneur of All Time?

The hosts debate whether Jack Ma, having ridden and helped create the wave of China's consumerization from manufacturing to consumption to wealth management, might be an even better marketplace builder than Jeff Bezos.

  • Alibaba rode successive waves: made-in-China manufacturing, consumer spending, and now wealth management
  • The hosts argue Alibaba both rode and created the wave rather than just capitalizing on it
  • They speculate Alibaba/Alipay could become the manager of China's growing consumer wealth

“I think you can make an argument that there is no entrepreneur and no company that has ridden a bigger wave better than Alibaba has.”

Ben Gilbert · 1:23:00
#Jack Ma#entrepreneurship#hot take

Explainer· 3

Explainer57:30

How Foreign Investors Actually Own a Piece of Alibaba (VIE Structure)

Because Chinese entities cannot be majority foreign-owned, Alibaba used a Variable Interest Entity (VIE) structure in the Cayman Islands, meaning foreign shareholders like Yahoo never directly owned the Chinese operating company, only a contractual claim on its profits.

  • Chinese entities can't be owned by foreign shareholders past certain thresholds
  • A VIE is set up in the Cayman Islands to hold the economic interest
  • Contracts link the Cayman entity to the actual China-based Alibaba business
  • This structure set the stage for the later Alipay ownership dispute

“There's something called a variable interest entity or a VIE that is set up in the Cayman Islands. That is the entity that Yahoo and…”

David Rosenthal · 57:30
#VIE#corporate structure#China regulation
Explainer1:09:00

How Yahoo's Alibaba Stake Became a $38B Shell Company Called Altaba

When Verizon acquired Yahoo, it only bought Yahoo's core internet business, not its Yahoo Japan and Alibaba stakes — those were spun into a separate public company called Altaba, a 10-person entity trading at a steep discount to the value of its Alibaba shares.

  • Verizon's 2017 Yahoo deal excluded the Alibaba and Yahoo Japan stakes
  • Those assets became Altaba, a standalone public holding company
  • Altaba had roughly 10 employees but an ~$38 billion market cap
  • Altaba traded at a discount to the actual value of its 15% Alibaba stake due to liquidity and governance risk

“Altava Inc. is an independent, publicly traded, non-diversified, closed and management investment company registered under the 1940 Act.”

00:00
#Yahoo#Altaba#Verizon
Explainer1:15:00

Mapping Alibaba's Sprawling Business Empire

A rundown of Alibaba's core properties — Alibaba.com, Taobao, 1688.com, Tmall, AliExpress, Etao, Alipay, and Alibaba Cloud — and how they fit together into an Amazon-plus-Google style network.

  • Taobao is the world's largest C2C marketplace
  • Tmall is Alibaba's B2C brand marketplace, competing with JD.com
  • AliExpress lets small Chinese sellers reach international consumers
  • Cloud computing is a fast-growing, high-margin segment akin to AWS
  • China commerce still makes up ~70% of revenue

“We do not buy and we do not sell, but we help small businesses to buy and sell.”

Jack Ma · 1:18:00
#business model#Alibaba properties#cloud computing

Story· 5

Story08:30

Jack Ma's Path from English-Obsessed Kid to KFC Reject

Young Ma Yun becomes obsessed with English after Nixon's visit to Hangzhou, gets his English name 'Jack' from a tourist, fails China's math-heavy college entrance exam twice, and is later the only one of 24 applicants rejected by KFC.

  • Nixon's 1972 trip to Hangzhou exposed the city to English-speaking tourists
  • Jack biked to the tourist hotel daily to practice English for free
  • A tourist gave him the name 'Jack' because his Chinese name was hard to pronounce
  • He failed China's college entrance exam twice due to weak math scores
  • He was the only applicant out of 24 rejected by KFC's first Hangzhou store

“They hire all 23 other applicants for the KFC in Hangzhou. Uh, Jack gets rejected.”

David Rosenthal · 11:30
#Jack Ma#origin story#China
Story14:00

Jack Ma's First Encounter with the Internet in Seattle

Held hostage in Las Vegas during a fraudulent highway deal, Jack escapes to Seattle where a friend shows him the internet for the first time; he searches 'beer' then 'China' and finds nothing, sparking the idea for a company that lists Chinese businesses online.

  • Jack was allegedly held hostage in Las Vegas after a US construction company turned out to be a fraud
  • He escaped and made his way to friends in Seattle in 1995
  • He saw the internet for the first time at a Seattle internet consultancy
  • Searching 'China' returned almost no results, giving him the idea to list his translation business online
  • Five business inquiries came in the same day, revealing massive latent demand

“And he notices he's he searches beer, he sees all these results for American beer, Mexican beer, German beer, uh, but there's no Chinese beer.”

David Rosenthal · 16:00
#Jack Ma#origin story#internet history
Story23:30

18 Co-Founders Launch Alibaba from an Apartment

Jack Ma recruits colleagues from his government internet project and launches Alibaba with 18 co-founders crammed into apartment 16-1 Lakeside Gardens in Hangzhou, choosing the name Alibaba for its universal 'open sesame' meaning.

  • Jack brought former government colleagues from Beijing back to Hangzhou to found the company
  • There were 18 co-founders, all given real equity, not just token stakes
  • The name Alibaba was chosen because it starts with 'A' and evokes 'open sesame' in many languages
  • It took about a year to buy the Alibaba.com domain from a Canadian owner for around $4,000

“There are 18 co-founders of this company.”

David Rosenthal · 24:00
#founding story#Alibaba#co-founders
Story1:00:30

The Controversial Alipay Spin-Off

Amid Chinese government pressure to have financial entities fully owned by Chinese nationals, and worsening relations with Yahoo, Jack Ma transferred Alipay out of Alibaba Group into an entity he and Joe Tsai controlled for just $51 million, triggering SEC scrutiny and investor backlash.

  • Chinese regulators pushed for 100% domestic ownership of financial entities
  • Jack Ma transferred Alipay to a separate Chinese-owned entity for $51 million
  • The transfer only surfaced later in a footnote of a quarterly filing
  • Yahoo and SoftBank did not disclose the transfer to their own shareholders, triggering investor unrest and SEC investigations

“Jack transfers Alipay outside of Alibaba group into a new entity that uh he and Joe and other other Chinese nationals control, and they transfer…”

David Rosenthal · 1:01:30
#Alipay#controversy#Yahoo
Story48:30

Taobao's Secret War Against eBay in China

eBay bought EachNet and moved Meg Whitman's team to China to defend its near-monopoly, publicly mocking Taobao's free-transaction model as unsustainable, only to lose the market as Taobao's free model won over Chinese sellers.

  • eBay acquired EachNet and had ~100% share of China's C2C market
  • eBay executives relocated to China and publicly criticized Taobao's business model
  • Taobao charged no transaction fees, unlike eBay
  • eBay's China share dropped from ~100% to 50% within a year

“This isn't a business. This is like, you know, you're selling dollars for 50 cents, and like we have a real business.”

David Rosenthal · 49:00
#eBay#Taobao#competition

Tool· 1

Tool1:06:30

What Is a Green Shoe Option, and Why Is It Called That?

A quick explainer on the green shoe option used in Alibaba's IPO, which let underwriters sell 15% more shares than planned, and the surprising trivia behind its name.

  • A green shoe option lets underwriters sell additional shares to support the stock price post-IPO without risking their own capital
  • Alibaba's underwriters expanded the IPO from $21.8B to $25B using this option
  • The term originates from Green Shoe Manufacturing (now Stride Rite), the first company to include this term in its underwriting agreement

“The reason it's called a green shoe option was it the first company to ever do it and have this written in as a term…”

David Rosenthal · 1:07:00
#IPO mechanics#finance trivia

Takeaway· 2

Takeaway1:20:30

The Bull and Bear Case for Alibaba's 2014 IPO

The hosts lay out why Alibaba's dominant 86% share of Chinese online retail made the bull case easy, while the VIE structure, Alipay uncertainty, and Chinese government risk formed the core of the bear case.

  • At IPO, Alibaba had 280 million customers spending $300B annually
  • Alibaba handled 86% of online retail sales in China
  • Bears worried about high growth multiples baked into the IPO price
  • Bears also worried about VIE structure risk and the Alipay spin-off precedent

“I'm not directly buying a share in the thing that creates the value. I'm buying shares in a thing that has an agreement with a…”

Ben Gilbert · 1:21:30
#IPO analysis#bull case#bear case
Takeaway1:29:30

Grading Alibaba's IPO: An Easy A

The hosts grade Alibaba's 2014 IPO an A, noting the company created roughly $240 billion in market cap in the four years post-IPO, roughly matching the value it took 19 years to build before going public.

  • Alibaba's market cap roughly doubled from $240B at IPO to ~$480B within a few years
  • That doubling represents about $240B of absolute value creation, comparable to the company's entire pre-IPO value
  • The hosts connect this scale of returns to the origin of SoftBank's Vision Fund strategy

“It took Alibaba 19 years to get to a 240 billion dollar market cap. It took them four years to create another 240 billion dollars…”

David Rosenthal · 1:31:30
#IPO grading#valuation#SoftBank