Why Conventional TAM Analysis Failed for Eventbrite and Airbnb
Kevin and Julia argue that conventional total-addressable-market studies are weak when a platform enables previously offline or newly created activity. Eventbrite's live platform data became more useful than consultants' attempts to size every event category.
- Xoom's market could be estimated from central-bank remittance data.
- Eventbrite's fragmented offline categories resisted conventional sizing.
- Platforms can create supply rather than merely capture an existing measured market.
- Real-time product data can reveal geographic and category opportunities.
- Market creation made Eventbrite comparable to Etsy and Airbnb.
“It's somewhat of a fruitless exercise.”
“there's nothing that comes close to the data that we have from what's going on at any given moment on the platform.”