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18 February 2019

Special: Spotify + Gimlet/Anchor Quick Take + Worldwide Meetup Details!

4Frameworks
10Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 4

Hot Take06:30

Spotify Bought Gimlet's Future Production Machine, Not Its Back Catalog

The hosts argue that Gimlet's strategic value lies in its hundred-plus-person production organization and ability to create future exclusive programming. Existing shows were expected to remain widely available, while new content could differentiate Spotify from Apple Music.

  • Gimlet was close to best in class at podcast production
  • The acquisition purchased an organizational capability
  • Future exclusive shows could differentiate Spotify
  • Existing Gimlet programming was unlikely to become exclusive

“Spotify bought Gimlet not for the content that they have today, but their ability to create exclusive content in the future”

Ben Gilbert · 06:30

“I would be very surprised if they take any of the existing Gimlet content and make it exclusive to Spotify.”

David Rosenthal · 07:00
#gimlet#content#exclusivity#production
Hot Take28:30

Podcasting Suddenly Had Two Viable Models at Opposite Scales

The episode identifies two models likely to coexist: large platforms funding tent-pole content and individual creators monetizing dedicated fans directly. Both rely on payment for content, but one sells broad access while the other sells additional depth or specialized offerings.

  • Spotify represented platform-funded premium programming
  • Direct memberships worked for podcasts at many audience sizes
  • The models operated at opposite ends of the market
  • Both reduced dependence on conventional podcast advertising

“there are two extremely viable business models in the space at at totally different ends of the spectrum, and I think they're gonna coexist completely”

David Rosenthal · 29:00

“tent pole, big content, you know, Spotify paving the way there, um, but also bottoms up direct monetization for podcasts of any scale.”

David Rosenthal · 29:00
#business-models#spotify#memberships#creator-economy
Hot Take32:00

Spotify Could Trigger an Unusually Large Jump in Podcast Listening

Podcast creation was growing much faster than the American listener base, which had expanded at a comparatively modest annual rate. The hosts predict that Spotify's reach, promotion, and investment could bring podcasting further into public consciousness and accelerate audience growth.

  • Nearly 80 million people reportedly listened monthly
  • Nearly 50 million reportedly listened weekly
  • Weekly listeners averaged about six and a half hours
  • Spotify could drive a larger-than-normal year of audience growth

“The growth rate of podcast among Americans is modest. It's like 15% per year, but the number of new podcasts created is like exponentially growing.”

Ben Gilbert · 32:30

“I think Spotify will probably deserve a lot of the credit for a uh bigger than than normal year in podcast listenership in the US.”

Ben Gilbert · 33:00
#audience-growth#spotify#podcasting#media
Hot Take37:00

Podcasting Is Entering a Golden Age of Radio

The hosts compare podcasts to radio as streaming video is to traditional television. They expect stronger business models to finance higher-quality programming, but predict that podcast consumption will remain fragmented across multiple apps rather than becoming winner-take-all.

  • Podcasting had developed for roughly 13 years
  • New economics could support a surge in premium programming
  • Spotify could build a major business without owning the entire market
  • Listener preferences may sustain many podcast applications

“I think this is the beginning of the golden age of, I would call it the golden age of radio, right?”

David Rosenthal · 37:00

“This is is not a winner take all space on the on the content side.”

David Rosenthal · 38:30
#golden-age#radio#podcasting#fragmentation

Explainer· 4

Explainer02:30

Spotify Commits Hundreds of Millions to Podcast Acquisitions

Spotify reportedly paid about $230 million for Gimlet Media and just over $100 million for Anchor. It also pledged to spend several hundred million dollars more on podcast acquisitions during 2019, abruptly changing venture perceptions of the category.

  • Gimlet reportedly sold for about $230 million
  • Anchor reportedly sold for just over $100 million
  • Spotify signaled additional podcast acquisitions in 2019
  • Podcasting suddenly gained a credible path to large exits

“Spotify not only acquired Gimlet Media for now. I I think we as of today know the numbers. They paid about 230 million dollars for…”

David Rosenthal · 02:30

“In one day, podcasting uh went from an uninvestable category that has not achieved venture scale to suddenly having uh, you know, a guaranteed $500…”

Ben Gilbert · 03:00
#spotify#gimlet#anchor#acquisitions
Explainer12:30

Why Podcast Analytics Were So Weak in 2019

Podcast hosts could generally report only server-side download information because they lacked access to detailed client-side behavior. Sophisticated publishers compensated by exporting and combining information from several sources, making analytics laborious and incomplete.

  • Hosting services supplied most available analytics
  • Server-side data revealed relatively little
  • Client-side listening data was largely unavailable
  • Publishers built custom spreadsheets from multiple sources

“Analytics are so poorly bu you know built out in this industry, as we all know.”

David Rosenthal · 12:30

“The vast majority of them don't have access to uh client side data, so you only get the information that the server sees, which is…”

Ben Gilbert · 13:30
#analytics#hosting#podcasting#data
Explainer14:00

Spotify's Existing Music Habit Became a Podcast Distribution Advantage

Spotify quickly gained meaningful podcast listening share because users already opened the app for audio. Apple still dominated podcast consumption, but differentiated programming offered Spotify a path to accelerate adoption and use hit shows as marketing.

  • Spotify reportedly held roughly 7–8% of podcast listening in some datasets
  • Gimlet cited a higher figure of 20%
  • Apple historically controlled a majority of podcast listens
  • Exclusive hits could attract listeners in the same way Netflix originals attract subscribers

“when you have uh an app that everyone already clicks on to listen to stuff, it turns out if you give them different stuff to…”

Ben Gilbert · 15:00

“the content acts as marketing and could go drive a bunch of people to sign up for Spotify purely to get access to that exclusive…”

Ben Gilbert · 15:30
#spotify#apple#distribution#listener-share
Explainer21:00

Why Spotify's Subscription Model May Protect Creator Subscriptions

The hosts contrast Spotify's incentive to satisfy paying subscribers with YouTube and Facebook's incentive to maximize attention and advertising inventory. Because Spotify earns a recurring subscription fee, it may have less reason to replace direct subscriptions with an aggressively intermediated feed.

  • YouTube benefits from longer viewing sessions and more ad impressions
  • Facebook's feed creates abundant advertising inventory
  • Spotify primarily wants customers to keep paying monthly
  • Different revenue models produce different product incentives

“Spotify just wants you to pay them 10 bucks a month.”

David Rosenthal · 21:30

“why have they doubled down so hard on the feed? It's because it happens to be the greatest format in humanity to show ads.”

Ben Gilbert · 22:00
#subscriptions#advertising#platforms#incentives

Story· 1

Story34:30

Dissect Shows How Spotify Can Develop Independent Creators

Cole Cuchna created the music-analysis podcast Dissect while working a day job, then joined Spotify to produce it full time. Spotify promoted and briefly windowed the show while continuing to make it available through other feeds, illustrating a gradual approach to platform differentiation.

  • Each season analyzes an album song by song
  • The creator combined storytelling with music-production expertise
  • Spotify enabled him to create the show full time
  • The show remained available outside Spotify

“Cole uh was just a guy like us, had a day job, and um uh did this on nights and weekends, and um Spotify hired…”

David Rosenthal · 36:00

“It's a very soft hammer they're brandishing.”

Ben Gilbert · 36:00
#dissect#creators#spotify#music

Takeaway· 1

Takeaway25:00

Direct Fan Funding Gives Podcasts a Second Viable Business Model

Acquired's Limited Partner program offered paid bonus material while keeping the main show free. The hosts present direct fan funding as a scalable model for shows ranging from hundreds to millions of listeners and as a complement to sponsorships.

  • A portion of listeners can pay for deeper bonus content
  • Direct funding can coexist with sponsorship revenue
  • A larger free audience increases the potential paid audience
  • Acquired expected memberships to become its primary business model

“there's a business model now to be able to directly monetize some percent of your audience in a super aligned way with with their interests”

Ben Gilbert · 25:30

“it's growing way faster than our advertising revenue did and and will become our primary business model over time.”

David Rosenthal · 27:30
#memberships#creators#monetization#podcasting