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16 August 2017

The Square IPO

3Frameworks
12Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 2

Hot Take33:00

Square Looked Fully Formed from Its First Release

Unlike the visibly improvised launches common to startups, Square debuted with an unusually polished website, product, packaging, and message. The hosts attribute this coherence to design being a core company principle and to Dorsey's strength as a product visionary.

  • Square's website became a reference point for other designers.
  • The reader and packaging felt comparable to Apple's products.
  • The customer experience concealed the company's early-stage experimentation.

“Like there was nothing about this company, at least as a customer, that felt like scrappy or new or at experiment or it it's like…”

34:00
#design#product launch#jack dorsey#square
Hot Take50:30

Goldman's Square IPO Incentives May Have Pointed the Wrong Way

Goldman Sachs invested in Square's protected private round and later led its IPO. The hosts argue that the ratchet may have made a lower offering price more valuable to Goldman than the additional underwriting fees it could earn from a higher price, creating a striking incentive conflict.

  • Goldman earned underwriting fees from the IPO.
  • Its protected private investment benefited from ratchet compensation.
  • Different Goldman teams did not eliminate the institution-level economic conflict.

“When you look at this, the the incentive for Goldman as the lead underwriter on this IPO is to actually price it lower”

51:00

“It's totally perverse.”

52:00
#goldman sachs#ipo#incentives#governance

Explainer· 4

Explainer08:30

The Huge Merchant Market Locked Out Before Square

Before Square, merchant accounts were difficult for small or new businesses to obtain. The hosts cite 30 million US businesses with less than $100,000 in revenue, only six million of which could accept credit cards, illustrating the size of the excluded market.

  • Traditional merchant approval favored established businesses.
  • Small sellers could lose meaningful sales when customers lacked cash or checks.
  • Square's major innovation was enabling almost anyone to accept card payments.

“So 24 of the 36 million, you know, small businesses in the US under 100,000 in revenue could not accept credit cards.”

26:30
#payments#small business#financial access#square
Explainer27:00

Free Hardware, Flat Pricing, and Faster Cash Changed Payments

Square mailed merchants a free reader, charged a predictable percentage per transaction, and deposited funds within one or two business days. This replaced expensive terminals, opaque fee schedules, and settlement delays that could stretch to 30 or 45 days.

  • The card reader was free instead of costing thousands of dollars.
  • Flat transaction pricing replaced complex card-specific fee tables.
  • Faster deposits improved small-business cash flow.

“And they make the card reader free.”

27:00

“Um so the other big product feature that Square had was they deposit the funds into your bank account within one to two business days,…”

31:00
#payments#pricing#cash flow#product
Explainer47:00

How Square's Down-Priced IPO Triggered $93 Million in Extra Stock

Square entered the public market at $9 per share and a $2.9 billion valuation after previously raising money at a $6 billion valuation. A contractual promise of a 20% investor return triggered a ratchet that required Square to issue approximately $93 million in additional stock.

  • The IPO priced below its published $11-$13 range.
  • The public valuation was roughly half the last private valuation.
  • Ratchet protection shifted the downside to other shareholders through dilution.

“So not only did they not get a return, they lost money. Um the way it played out is the company had to issue additional…”

49:30
#ipo#ratchet#dilution#square
Explainer53:30

Square's Cohorts Replaced Lost Merchants with Customer Growth

Square lost some merchants from each customer cohort, but the surviving merchants grew enough to offset the lost revenue. This approximately zero net churn made cohort revenue durable and gave Square a predictable basis for investing in customer acquisition.

  • Some individual merchants still churned.
  • Growth from remaining merchants offset revenue lost from departures.
  • Stable cohort economics allowed marketing investments to stack over time.

“So basically what that meant is the way that this business works is the uh they would lose customers, they would churn out at a…”

53:30
#cohorts#churn#unit economics#growth

Story· 4

Story05:00

Square's Founders First Met When Jack Dorsey Was a Teen Intern

Jim McKelvy met Jack Dorsey when Dorsey worked as a 15-year-old summer intern at McKelvy's publishing company in St. Louis. Their relationship endured through Dorsey's first tenure at Twitter and eventually became the foundation for Square.

  • McKelvy studied computer science and glassblowing in St. Louis.
  • Dorsey supported McKelvy's 1995 publishing pivot when other employees did not.
  • McKelvy later contacted Dorsey after Dorsey was forced out of Twitter.

“And that person's name was Jack Dorsey.”

07:30
#square#jack dorsey#jim mckelvy#founders
Story11:30

The Disputed Third Figure in Square's Founding

Professor Robert Morley reportedly introduced McKelvy and Dorsey to mobile card-reading technology after rejecting their possible electric-car idea. He was never formally recognized as a Square founder and later sued over patents and his alleged exclusion, settling for $50 million.

  • The initial idea may have been an electric-car company.
  • Morley's research involved payment-card reading technology.
  • Square settled Morley's lawsuit in 2016 for $50 million.

“And Square and the company and and he settled in 2016 for 50 million dollars.”

14:00
#square#robert morley#patents#founding
Story18:00

An Apple Cafeteria Meeting Saved Square from Being Called Squirrel

The startup originally planned to launch as Squirrel with an acorn-shaped reader. During a visit to Apple, Scott Forstall pointed out that Apple's cafeteria already used a point-of-sale company called Squirrel Systems, prompting the startup to adopt the Square name and reader shape.

  • The original product name was Squirrel.
  • The original card reader design resembled an acorn.
  • Scott Forstall identified the naming collision before launch.

“It's Squirrel and the card reader design also totally iconic and matches the name perfectly it's an acorn”

18:30

“So they changed the name to Square.”

20:00
#naming#square#apple#product design
Story36:00

Square's Bad Starbucks Deal Accelerated Its Product Maturity

Starbucks invested in Square and agreed to move payments at US company-owned stores onto its technology. Although Square reportedly lost money on the arrangement and Starbucks eventually withdrew, the scale forced Square to develop enterprise-class payments, security, and operational capabilities rapidly.

  • The deal was a major credibility signal beyond small merchants.
  • Square was not initially ready for Starbucks-scale requirements.
  • The financial outcome was poor, but the product-development pressure was valuable.

“what this deal forced Square to do was become enterprise class in terms of you know payments and fintech and security um really quickly.”

38:00

“This was a really bad deal”

37:30
#starbucks#enterprise#square#product strategy

Takeaway· 2

Takeaway15:00

Why Polished Founding Myths Can Still Create Business Value

The hosts contrast Square's official glassblower story with its messier possible origin. They argue that a simplified founding story can communicate a company's purpose, values, culture, and target customer even when reality was more complicated.

  • Square's official origin story makes financial exclusion tangible.
  • Founding stories give employees and customers a memorable user archetype.
  • A useful company story can be simplified without defining the entire historical record.

“But he gets the power of stories, and the official, you know, square origin story is super powerful, right?”

15:30

“Like you you embody the culture and the values of a company in these stories.”

17:00
#storytelling#founders#culture#branding
Takeaway1:11:30

Square's Product Timing Was Better Than Its IPO Timing

The hosts distinguish Square's poorly timed IPO from the company's exceptional product timing. Growing consumer preference for cards and the rapid spread of smartphones converged in 2009 and 2010, allowing Square to enter a market primed for immediate adoption.

  • Credit-card usage was expanding.
  • Smartphones created a new distribution and hardware platform.
  • The combination produced unusually rapid product-market fit.

“Um but um but the timing of the company and the product, like I think this is just a fantastic example of you know what…”

1:11:30

“And just instant product market fit.”

1:12:00
#timing#mobile#product-market fit#square